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Correct the Cold Weather Payment docs page (#435) - #1736
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#435 asks for Cold Weather Payment to be modelled. Persist the modelling plan in-repo because the geographic weather-event eligibility is the unusual bit and shouldn't be left to ad-hoc implementation decisions. The page covers: - the policy structure (SI 1988/1724): £25 per 7-day cold period at the household's weather station, conditional on a qualifying-benefit receipt with the relevant addition / age trigger, - three modelling approaches for the weather side: expected-value parameterisation (smooth aggregate, wrong per-winter), regional mixing from Met Office historic data (recommended), and year-specific lookups for back-casts, - three-phase implementation: Phase 1 expected-value gate + payment; Phase 2 regional weather mixing; Phase 3 Scottish Winter Heating Payment under SSI 2023/8 as a separate variable, - data sources (DWP CWP statistics for calibration; Met Office historic stations for regional expected periods), - open questions on composite vs disaggregated eligibility flags and whether to model Welsh top-ups.
Northern Ireland still runs the scheme; the Scottish Winter Heating Payment is under SSI 2023/16, now 62.00 a year, with the same qualifying benefits as CWP; note that Pension Age Winter Heating Payment is already modelled; fix the qualifying conditions, the statistics link and the spending figures; drop an unsourced claim. Type the changelog fragment. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Restate the qualifying benefit conditions as GOV.UK gives them, cite the April 2026 uprating of the Winter Heating Payment to £62.00 in SSI 2023/16, credit its statistics to Social Security Scotland, and remove em dashes. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Main already carries this page (#2386) and released its changelog line in 2.143.0. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
The page reached main through #2386 and its changelog line shipped in 2.143.0, so this drops the released .added fragment and corrects main's copy: - Winter Heating Payment replaced CWP in Scotland from 1 November 2022 (SI 1988/1724 reg 1A(8), inserted by SI 2022/1018), first paid February 2023, not "in 2023". - Add the third and fifth conditions (no care home unless a child under 5 or CTC disability element; home in England or Wales). - IS and JSA(IB) premium lists are wider than ESA's; SMI recipients treated as on Pension Credit need no further condition (reg 1A(2)(g)). - GOV.UK summarises; reg 1A has the full test. - SMI and the pensioner premium have no variables yet. - Phase 3 must drop CWP's care-home and England-and-Wales conditions (WHP also dropped its CTC limb in 2025, SSI 2025/195). - DWP publishes triggers by weather station, not region; the Met Office historic data are monthly for 37 stations. - WHD covers bill-payers, not everyone on the benefits. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Collaborator
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UK hub (Claude build session, for Max) Head: Read this first. The page is already on main, word for word, through #2386 ( This branch now:
Against main, the diff is the page and the fragment. Suggested title on landing: "Correct the Cold Weather Payment plan". The plan is still worth having. Neither CWP nor the Scottish (low-income) Winter Heating Payment is on main: Claims checked (main
|
| Claim | Verdict | Source |
|---|---|---|
| £25 per 7-day cold period in England and Wales; 0°C over 7 days, 1 November to 31 March | true | SI 1988/1724 reg 3 and reg 1(2) (review agent); GOV.UK |
| NI runs its own scheme on the same terms, 1 November 2026 to 31 March 2027 | true | https://www.nidirect.gov.uk/articles/cold-weather-payment |
| WHP £62.00 from April 2026 (SSI 2023/16 reg 9) | true | reg 9(1) as substituted by SSI 2026/170 |
| WHP "replaced CWP there in 2023" | fixed: from winter 2022-23, first paid in February 2023 | SI 1988/1724 reg 1A(8), inserted 1.11.2022 by SI 2022/1018; gov.scot |
PAWHP is modelled under gov.social_security_scotland.pawhp |
true | parameters/gov/social_security_scotland/pawhp/active.yaml; programs.yaml:589-599 |
| "A household qualifies if all of the following hold" (two bullets) | fixed: entitlement is the claimant's; added the care-home and England-or-Wales conditions | reg 1A(4) "(which does not apply to a person who comes within paragraph (3)(a) or (d))", reg 1A(8); raw legislation.gov.uk text |
| ESA conditions (support or WRAG, severe or enhanced disability, pensioner premium, disabled child, child under 5) | true | reg 1A(3)(a), (d), (e) |
| "same premium test" for IS and JSA | fixed: their lists add the disability, higher pensioner and disabled child premiums | reg 1A(3)(b)-(c) |
| UC employment and LCW conditions; disabled child "whether working or not" | true | reg 1A(3)(f), (6); GOV.UK |
| SMI "with one of those premiums or children" | fixed: SMI while treated as on Pension Credit needs no further condition | reg 1A(2)(g) with (3) ("applies only if … (2)(b), (c), (d), (e) or (f)") |
| GOV.UK "has the exact conditions" | fixed: it summarises | — |
| 2024-25: about 1.4 million payments, around £35 million | true | DWP news release, April 2025 |
| DWP doesn't count actual payments; it publishes eligible estimates and triggers | true | DWP background and methodology (review agent) |
| Benefit check is "clean for PolicyEngine" | qualified: there is no SMI or pensioner-premium variable | grep of policyengine_uk/variables |
| Option 1 parameter name and entity | aligned with Phase 1 (expected_periods_per_year, benefit unit) |
— |
| Option 3 "statistics by region" | fixed: DWP publishes by weather station, with a postcode-district file | 2025-26 release attachments ("Weather stations and postcodes") |
| WHP qualifying benefits match CWP; qualifying week 2 to 8 November 2026 | true | SSI 2023/16 reg 2, reg 4; mygov.scot |
| Phase 3 "reuse the Phase 1 rule" | fixed: WHP has no care-home or England-or-Wales condition, and dropped the CTC limb in 2025 | SSI 2023/16 reg 4 annotation "Reg. 4(3)(d) omitted (23.6.2025) … S.S.I. 2025/195" |
| Met Office historic data for regional periods | fixed: monthly data for 37 stations can't count 7-day periods; use DWP's per-station triggers | https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/historic-station-data |
"The FRS gives region cleanly" |
made precise: region is a household input from the FRS and country is derived; region is coarse against weather stations |
variables/household/region.py; country.py:21-37 |
| WHD "covers everyone on" four benefits | fixed: bill-payers on them | GOV.UK WHD England and Wales |
Corrections: 11.
Uncertain
- Reg 1A(6) applies the employment test to "the person". GOV.UK applies it to the claimant and the partner, and the page follows GOV.UK; I didn't find the joint-claim provision.
- GOV.UK no longer lists IS and JSA(IB). The regulations still do.
Full ledger: ~/reviews/uk-hub/jobs/docs-c2/b/1736-ledger.md.
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Corrects the Cold Weather Payment planning page (
docs/book/programs/gov/dwp/cold-weather-payment-plan.md), written for #435.The page itself is already on main: it shipped in #2386 (merged 21 October 2026), and its original
.addedchangelog entry was released in 2.143.0. This branch has merged main, dropped the released fragment and now carries only corrections to main's copy of the page.What this PR corrects (from its changelog fragment):
The claim-by-claim review behind these corrections, with sources, is in the "Ready for hub review" comment on this PR.
changelog.d/435-cold-weather-payment-corrections.changed.md(changed).🤖 Generated with Claude Code