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Add TimeRSI-1.5 FEV-Bench results - #204

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shchur merged 1 commit into
autogluon:mainfrom
haoxin1998:submit-timersi-1_5
Oct 23, 2026
Merged

shchur merged 1 commit into
autogluon:mainfrom
haoxin1998:submit-timersi-1_5

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@haoxin1998

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Organization: GaTech & SamayLabs

TimeRSI-1.5 wraps frozen Timestral-209M with agent-evolved forecasting programs, task-local selection/composition, early stopping for efficiency and adaptive quantile aggregation. Foundation-model weights are not fine-tuned; decisions use only observed history, declared known-future covariates and feedback available before each cutoff.

As in TimeRSI-1.0 (#196), agent inputs and feedback are restricted to information available before each forecast cutoff, with Docker isolation for code-agent sessions and generated candidates.

Across all 100 tasks, SQL / MASE / WAPE / WQL Skill scores are 51.822% / 41.440% / 45.400% / 56.059%. Per-task adaptation and inference times are provided; see runtime accounting.

Implementation: https://github.com/haoxin1998/TimeRSI4FevBench/tree/main/TimeRSI-1.5

@shchur
shchur merged commit ceb25ae into autogluon:main Oct 23, 2026
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2 participants